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June 11, 2004

Home ownership improves your health

Fannie Mae studies relationship between wealth, health
Courtesy Top Producer
Inman News

Home ownership builds wealth and that creates health was one conclusion reached in a new study in the Housing Policy Debate, an esoteric research publication produced by secondary mortgage market giant Fannie Mae's Foundation.
The research article, "Does Housing Mobility Policy Improve Health," examined a litany of studies that attempted to show that better housing conditions improve public health. Home ownership is at the apex of the housing ladder and seems to result in the healthiest people. The research showed:
• One study found that home ownership helps prevent long-term illness.
• Another showed that children living in houses owned by their parents experienced lower rates of behavioral, emotional and cognitive problems.
• Home ownership may confer psychological benefits, according to one study conducted by the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.
Home ownership also carries some risk to health. For example, a British study showed that "when homeowners experienced problems paying their mortgages or fell into arrears, their well-being declined."
"Thus, the fear of losing one's home results in worse health," the researchers concluded.
Beyond home ownership, the Fannie Mae study looked at the range of federal housing policies that could help promote better health, including fair housing laws and rental assistance.
The report said the research found mixed results.
"Although housing has long been hypothesized to affect health, documenting this relationship has been challenging," wrote the authors of the study, who all work at either the Harvard Medical School or Harvard School of Public Health.

Copyright 2004 Inman News


Posted by at 10:18 AM

June 10, 2004

Record Expected for Existing-Home Sales in 2004, Says NAR

Record Expected for Existing-Home Sales in 2004, Says NAR

WASHINGTON (June 8, 2004) – Unexpectedly strong job growth will buffet the impact of higher interest rates and help to push existing-home sales to a record in 2004, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

See current chart (PDF: 78K) >

David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said job growth could reach 3 million this year. "The economy is moving quickly now and the Fed is likely to raise short-term interest rates on June 30," he said. "The market appears to have anticipated the move and has priced it into 30-year mortgage rates, but the cost of financing remains historically low and strong demand will push home sales to a record this year."

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is expected to reach 6.9 percent by the fourth quarter. "At the same time, unemployment should drop to 5.3 percent, so we continue to have a very favorable backdrop for housing," Lereah said.

NAR projects existing-home sales to hit a record 6.17 million in 2004, which would be 1.2 percent higher than last year's 6.10 million record. New-home sales should be essentially stable, slipping 0.4 percent to 1.08 million this year, just shy of the record 1.09 million in 2003, while housing starts are seen to be fairly even, down 0.3 percent to 1.84 million.

The median existing-home price is forecast to rise 5.4 percent in 2004 to $179,200, while the median new-home price should grow by 7.9 percent to $210,400.

Lereah said the U.S. gross domestic product is forecast to grow 4.7 percent this year, with inflation remaining under control. The Consumer Price Index is projected to rise 2.4 percent in 2004. "Energy prices could retreat, but more importantly, productivity gains mean labor costs should stay down. This means there is no cost-push inflation in the pipeline where rising costs would push up prices, and long-term interest rates will not be moving up significantly this year or next," he said.

Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income should grow by 3.9 percent in 2004, while the consumer confidence index is expected to rise to 96 in the fourth quarter.

More detailed information about the association's economic outlook, as well as other analysis of real estate industry statistics, can be found in the June issue of NAR's Real Estate Outlook: Market Trends and Insights. The publication may be purchased by calling 800/874-6500.

The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

Record Expected for Existing-Home Sales in 2004, Says NAR

Record Expected for Existing-Home Sales in 2004, Says NAR

WASHINGTON (June 8, 2004) – Unexpectedly strong job growth will buffet the impact of higher interest rates and help to push existing-home sales to a record in 2004, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

See current chart (PDF: 78K) >

David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said job growth could reach 3 million this year. "The economy is moving quickly now and the Fed is likely to raise short-term interest rates on June 30," he said. "The market appears to have anticipated the move and has priced it into 30-year mortgage rates, but the cost of financing remains historically low and strong demand will push home sales to a record this year."

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is expected to reach 6.9 percent by the fourth quarter. "At the same time, unemployment should drop to 5.3 percent, so we continue to have a very favorable backdrop for housing," Lereah said.

NAR projects existing-home sales to hit a record 6.17 million in 2004, which would be 1.2 percent higher than last year's 6.10 million record. New-home sales should be essentially stable, slipping 0.4 percent to 1.08 million this year, just shy of the record 1.09 million in 2003, while housing starts are seen to be fairly even, down 0.3 percent to 1.84 million.

The median existing-home price is forecast to rise 5.4 percent in 2004 to $179,200, while the median new-home price should grow by 7.9 percent to $210,400.

Lereah said the U.S. gross domestic product is forecast to grow 4.7 percent this year, with inflation remaining under control. The Consumer Price Index is projected to rise 2.4 percent in 2004. "Energy prices could retreat, but more importantly, productivity gains mean labor costs should stay down. This means there is no cost-push inflation in the pipeline where rising costs would push up prices, and long-term interest rates will not be moving up significantly this year or next," he said.

Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income should grow by 3.9 percent in 2004, while the consumer confidence index is expected to rise to 96 in the fourth quarter.

More detailed information about the association's economic outlook, as well as other analysis of real estate industry statistics, can be found in the June issue of NAR's Real Estate Outlook: Market Trends and Insights. The publication may be purchased by calling 800/874-6500.

The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

 

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